Insight

US coal gas substitution in 2016 – 2018

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Report summary

Natural gas generation overtook coal generation in 2015 and this will likely repeat in 2016. In this Insight we forecast coal generation across a wide range of natural gas prices for the next three years. Natural gas price volatility is expected to continue into 2016 as gas market participants respond to the low price environment. Across the range of sensitivities we analysed in 2016 coal demand can vary 362 Mst and natural gas demand in the electric sector can range 16 bcf/d.

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  • Document

    WM near-term coal gas sub Feb2016.xls

    XLS 469.50 KB

  • Document

    US coal gas substitution in 2016 – 2018

    PDF 392.88 KB

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    US coal gas substitution in 2016 – 2018

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Tables and charts

This report includes 10 images and tables including:

Images

  • Deliveries of coal by contract length in years (2010-2016)
  • Select energy price volatility
  • 2016 Coal contracts under pressure
  • Changes in EGU gas demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2016 Northern Appalachia thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2016 Illinois basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2016 Powder River basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2017 thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2018 thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
  • 2016 Thermal EGU coal price by Henry Hub natural gas price sensitivity

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