Insight
Climate scenario modelling guide
*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
Climate risk continues to shape long-term asset valuations, even as transition policy loses momentum. Carbon pricing, demand shifts and technology change remain material to investment decisions, and disclosure frameworks including ISSB IFRS S2, TCFD and CSRD/ESRS E1 now expect quantified scenario analysis as standard. This guide, first in a series on using Wood Mackenzie data for climate disclosure, focuses on oil & gas. Using Wood Mackenzie's climate scenario suite (delayed transition, country pledges and net zero pathways, plus a base case), it walks through a fully worked example, building an asset-level income statement, quantifying EBITDA impact to 2050, and drafting disclosure-ready narrative, plus how the same data supports portfolio screening and strategic decisions.
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What's included
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