Dark clouds gather over the future of Polish coal power

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Report summary

Poland currently relies on coal for over 80% of its power generation, but a struggling coal industry, EU emission regulations and renewable targets will force down the of the amount of coal in the energy mix. Despite plans to construct a number of new coal fired power plants in the next five years, coal power is forecast to decline rapidly over the next 20 years due to large scale decommissioning of ageing coal-fired power plants. Other, lower carbon fuels will take the place of coal in the power sector. Renewable energy will play a role in the future Polish power mix but the majority of retiring coal capacity will be replaced by gas-fired power stations. A number of gas infrastructure projects are currently under construction or are planned in an effort to ensure energy security in the wake of declining coal power.

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    Poland power market.pdf

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  • Coal dominates the Polish power market
  • Rapid decommissioning of coal-fired power will take place in the 2020s
  • Retiring coal generators to be replaced by other fuels
  • Coal production and demand are in decline
  • Poland's renewable targets are unlikely to be met
  • Power supply to diversify as coal declines
  • Substantial investment in gas infrastructure to ensure supply diversification

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