India energy markets long-term outlook 2015 Report

Commodity Market Report 09 September 2015

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Report summary

Over the next two decades, India is poised to become one of the largest global economies and energy markets. We forecast India's energy demand to increase from 791 Mtoe in 2014 to almost 1,700 Mtoe by 2035, making it the largest growth region in terms of energy demand after China. The new government's focus on expanding the manufacturing sector, together with accelerating urbanisation and rising household incomes will translate to higher energy consumption across all sectors. However, its energy sector is challenged on two fronts – a complex regulatory and policy-making environment and 1.2 billion people with a tremendous appetite for energy that the country's resources cannot sufficiently provide. These challenges, if not overcome, could derail India's economic development.

Executive summary
- Key themes in this 2015 India energy outlook:
Economic outlook
Demand
- Economic drivers and energy demand
- Total primary energy demand
  - Energy intensity
- Industrial and non-energy use
  - Key sub-sectors
  - Key fuels
- Transport
  - Key fuels
- Residential, commercial and agricultural (RCA)
  - Key fuels
Supply
- Coal
- Oil
- Gas
Policy and regulation
- Energy policy
- Environment and carbon policy
- Energy pricing and subsidy
Risks and uncertainties