Commodity Market Report
Europe gas markets long-term outlook – H1 2015
Report summary
The European gas market is going through profound changes, driven by policy decisions as well as an environment of very challenging market fundamentals, with the on-going Russia-Ukraine crises adding further uncertainty. How these changes play out will dictate how the European market - and ultimately prices - will evolve going forward
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- Economic outlook
-
Policy and regulation
-
Dimension 1: Energy security, solidarity and trust
- Main projects and initiatives:
- Security of supply
-
Dimension 2. A fully integrated internal energy market
- Main projects and initiatives:
- Internal market
- Competition
- Anti-trust enforcement
-
Dimension 3. Decarbonising the economy
- Main projects and initiatives:
- Renewable energy targets
- CO2 emission targets
-
Dimension 4. Energy efficiency
- Main projects and initiatives:
- Energy efficiency targets
-
Dimension 5. Research, Innovation and Competitiveness
- Main projects and initiatives
-
Dimension 1: Energy security, solidarity and trust
-
Demand
- Gas demand by sector
-
Supply
- Domestic gas supply
- In the long-term European shale disappoints and decline accelerates
-
Infrastructure
-
LNG import infrastructure
- Existing infrastructure
- Projects under construction
- Pre-FID projects
- Other Services
- Piped import infrastructure
-
Russia
- Turkish Stream
- Nord Stream expansion
- Others
-
North Africa
- Galsi
- Green Stream expansion
- Southern corridor
-
Contracts
- LNG
- Piped
-
Costs
- Long run delivered costs of gas to North West Europe
-
Supply-demand balances
- Supply-demand balances
- Flow dynamics – Russia
- Flow dynamics – Norway
- Flow dynamics – Algeria
- Flow dynamics – Southern Corridor
- Flow dynamics – LNG
- Risks and uncertainties
Tables and charts
This report includes 28 images and tables including:
- Q1 2015 GDP growth (2010-2035)
- Energy Union package
- Key infrastructure
- Demand: Image 1
- Capacity growth by fuel*
- Power generation mix*
- Supply: Image 1
- Regas capacity by status
- Regas capacity and contracted volumes
- Pipe capacity
- Pipe capacity and contracted volumes
- Costs: Image 1
- Europe supply-demand gap
- Europe contestable demand and competing supply
- Europe demand and supply mix
- Europe contestable demand and supply mix
- Supply-demand balances: Image 5
- Supply-demand balances: Image 6
- Supply-demand balances: Image 7
- Supply-demand balances: Image 8
- Algeria contracted and uncontracted flows into Europe
- Algeria flows by major pipelines into Europe
- Turkey demand and supply (including transit)
- Southern Corridor flows (transiting Turkey)
- Contracted and flexible LNG flows into Europe by importing regions
- Total LNG flows into Europe by importing regions
- Contracted and flexible LNG flows into Europe by exporting regions
- Total LNG flows into Europe by exporting regions
What's included
This report contains:
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