We forecast unconventional production in North Africa exceeding 1 000 bcm by 2022. Technology drilling improvements and optimisation continue to lower costs and increase well performance. Meanwhile China's unconventional potential is receiving greater focus. Despite slow initial growth we expect unconventional output to reach 340 bcm by 2035 meeting nearly half China's domestic demand. In contrast prospects for unconventional in Europe have weakened in light of delays and public opposition.