North America gas markets new industrial capacity update 2019

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Industrial demand averaged 22.7 bcfd, representing 1 bcfd of year-on-year growth. While the ongoing trade war between the US and China helped US steel producers enjoy a strong year in 2018, the tariffs negatively impacted downstream manufacturing industries as well as chemical companies. We anticipated around 4.5 million tons per year of ethylene capacity would come online but only two ethylene projects started producing in 2018: ExxonMobil's Baytown cracker and Chevron Phillip's complex in Cedar Bayou. The delayed projects are to start in 2019. We expect about 0.3 bcfd of industrial demand to be added in 2019 as 15 new projects come online in the US.

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  • Wood Mackenzie tracks gas-intensive projects that materially impact US and Canadian demand.

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