Commodity Market Report

Turkey gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2019

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21 August 2019

Turkey gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2019

Report summary

The Turkish gas market is slowing after decades of rapid growth falling to an average of 0.5% from 2019- 2040 from 76.5% from 2000-2018. Recent economic turmoil has laid bare the vulnerability of the Turkish energy market and the risks of relying heavily on imported energy. The effects have been a contraction in demand as costs to importers have spiralled and a push by the government to switch more demand to domestically produced energy and consequently, away from gas. Turkey is establishing itself as a key transit country of gas in of Europe. Two large pipeline projects are currently underway, TANAP and Turkstream, that will transit huge volumes of gas to Europe from Azerbaijan and Russia respectively. While Turkey will see its piped import increase through these new projects at the cost of LNG imports, gas demand will flatten from the mid 2020s and will even fall in some years as renewable and nuclear output squeeze gas in the power sector.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 15 images and tables including:

  • Gas production forecast (2010-2040)
  • Import capacity
  • Export capacity
  • Import pipeline capacity
  • Export pipeline capacity
  • LNG regasification capacity
  • Turkish storage outlook
  • Gas flows in to Turkey
  • Committed Supply and Demand Gap
  • Historical piped imports
  • Turkey contracted piped imports
  • Historical LNG imports
  • Turkey contracted LNG imports
  • Long-run delivered cost of gas to Turkey, 2030

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