LNG dynamics and the corporate landscape
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Report summary
This paper, prepared for Wood Mackenzie's participation at the 2016 LNG 18 conference, looks at the shifting dynamics of the industry and the growing participation of the portfolio player. Lower demand and over-supply in Asia, has forced incumbent LNG buyers to develop LNG portfolios. LNG is now diverted or reloaded to international regas capacity or alternative markets. There are now risks that buyers could become dependent upon a small group of global portfolio players, as the BG acquisition by Shell suggests, while the growing appetite shown for equity LNG suggests to some that buyers may become excluded from supply access. However, it is more likely that the growing number of portfolio players will prevent such an outcome. As more portfolio players are established, competitive intensity is more likely to improve. Recent FLNG offtake deals show how new supply can be developed without dominant players. US LNG also continues to provide opportunities for new market entrants.
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- Introduction
-
Buyer dynamics
- Over-contracted Asian incumbents face growing competition from new entrants
- ...and need to develop global footprints
-
Seller dynamics
- Sellers are broadening access to customers
- ...with scope for seller cooperation
-
Rise of the portfolio player
- There are few pure portfolio players...
- but more companies are considering the advantages of portfolio
- ...and supply concentration looks set to grow
- Conclusions
Tables and charts
This report includes 9 images and tables including:
- Chart 1: Competition for LNG demand by market
- Chart 2: Emerging company access to regas
- Chart 3: Long term contracts signed (Jan 14 - Jan 16)
- Chart 4: Flexible LNG volumes in 2023
- Chart 5: Contracted LNG sourced by basin (2021)
- Chart 6: LNG Commitments by basin (2021)
- Figure 1
- Chart 7: Contracted LNG supply
- Chart 8: Equity vs Project supply
What's included
This report contains:
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