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Nigeria: Four reasons why oil production may be vulnerable

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Wood Mackenzie's sister company, Verisk Maplecroft, examines recent developments in the Niger Delta. The fragile peace in the region is on the cusp of breaking down again. Militant groups are running out of patience, the government is unable to deliver on its promises, the president is a ‘lame duck’, and the umbrella group negotiating on behalf of the militants shows signs of disintegration. All of this suggests that the current period of ostensible tranquillity in the oil producing Niger Delta could be over soon as the country heads towards elections in 2019.

Table of contents

  • Militant groups running out of patience
  • The government is unable to deliver on promises
  • President Buhari is a lame duck
  • The government's preferred negotiation partner is disintegrating
  • The risks are rising again

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