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8 Pages

Q3 2016 Global economy: cyclical slowdown, Brexit, commodity producer woes, China stimulus

Q3 2016 Global economy: cyclical slowdown, Brexit, commodity producer woes, China stimulus

Report summary

Wood Mackenzie forecasts weak global GDP growth over the next five years. Developed economies face structural headwinds such as ageing demographics, while emerging markets must address reforms without the cushion of high commodity prices. On top of this, cyclical factors are at play. Growth drivers – especially in the developed world – look unsustainable. Last year we thought these cyclical factors would come to a head in 2018. But, with commodity prices worse than expected, and political instability deepening, it appears that cyclical slowdown has come sooner.

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Q3 2016 Global economy: cyclical slowdown, Brexit, commodity producer woes, China stimulus PDF - 590.11 KB 8 Pages, 0 Tables, 11 Figures


This Macroeconomics and Global Trends Insight report presents our research on this key topic, and draws out the implications for economies and commodity markets.

This report delivers a clear understanding of our unique global economic outlook and identify risks and uncertainties to watch out for.

Wood Mackenzie's global trends and macroeconomic analysis underpins all our commodity demand analysis, ensuring we continually deliver an integrated and consistent view.

Our comprehensive understanding of commodity markets gives us a unique insight into the pace of global development and the risks associated with it.

  • Cyclical slowdown
    • Europe: Brexit, Grexit, Frexit, Nexit?
    • Commodity producers: missed window of opportunity?
    • Japan: 'Abenomics' has failed
    • United States: Investment and industrial output GDP growth slump down to commodity price collapse
    • China: short-term gain for long-term pain?
    • Conclusion

In this report there are 11 tables or charts, including:

  • Cyclical slowdown
    • Real GDP growth: bringing forward the slowdown
    • Real GDP growth in 2017 for selected EU economies
    • Upcoming elections pose a risk to political stability
    • Inflation coming down for some...
    • ...but rising for others
    • Cumulative change in real GDP
    • Japanese real GDP: changes since Q1 2007
    • US mining sector employment
    • New orders for oil and gas machinery
    • China GDP by component (annual % growth)
    • China fixed asset investment (annual % growth)
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Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk Analytics business, has been a trusted source of commercial intelligence for the world's natural resources sector for more than 40 years, empowering clients to make better strategic decisions with objective analysis and advice.

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