Q3 2016 Global economy: cyclical slowdown, Brexit, commodity producer woes, China stimulus
Wood Mackenzie forecasts weak global GDP growth over the next five years. Developed economies face structural headwinds such as ageing demographics, while emerging markets must address reforms without the cushion of high commodity prices. On top of this, cyclical factors are at play. Growth drivers – especially in the developed world – look unsustainable. Last year we thought these cyclical factors would come to a head in 2018. But, with commodity prices worse than expected, and political instability deepening, it appears that cyclical slowdown has come sooner.