Commodity Market Report
Global aluminium short-term outlook February 2018
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Report summary
The aluminium market service short term outlook (STO) is published monthly and provides a forecast of aluminium supply and demand fundamentals over the next two-years. For a short month, February packed in a lot of developments. Despite the China market winding down for the New Year, large single day LME stock increases in Asian warehouses, the emergence of a large cash to 3 month backwardation and tougher than expected recommendations from the Section 232 investigations on aluminium imports by the US Department of Commerce kept the market on edge.
Table of contents
Tables and charts
This report includes 27 images and tables including:
- Aluminium key forecasts
- Global supply-demand balance, 2011 - 2020
- LME inventory by region
- LME cash price and cash to three month spreads
- Chinese primary aluminium inventories march higher
- Global benchmark premia
- PMIs flat-line ahead of Chinese New Year
- Japanese semis output
- Japanese housing starts
- Domestic shipments of sheet and plate surge
- Sheet output surges in December
- North American shipments of extrusions
- US imports of flat rolled products form China
- European PMI
- Supply: Table 1
- Supply: Table 2
- Supply: Image 1
- Rest of World alumina balances, China imports and Spot prices, 2017-2020, (kt)
- Supply: Image 2
- Changes in global SGA production estimates since January, (kt)
- Price forecasts and world quarterly supply/demand balance – (kt)
- Global primary aluminium consumption (kt)
- Global alumina production (kt)
- Global primary aluminium production (kt)
- Aluminium stock and premia (kt)
- Alumina supply/demand balance global summary (kt)
- Aluminium supply/demand balance global summary (kt)
What's included
This report contains:
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