Commodity Market Report

Global copper long-term outlook Q4 2014

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Report summary

Over the next few years, strong growth in supply, even after applying a 5% disruption allowance, will contribute further to global surpluses, driving metal stock days to peak by 2017, and placing downward pressure on prices. As the pace of supply growth declines from 2017, the market will drift towards a deficit and support an upward trend in quotes toward our long-term project incentive price level of $7716/t ($3.50/lb) in constant 2014$ by 2021.

What's included

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  • Document

    Global copper long-term outlook Q4 2014

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Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 53 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Japan refined copper consumption – kt
  • Asia (excl. China) copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • North America copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • Oceania copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • Africa copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • Europe copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • China copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • Middle East copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • Russia and the Caspian mine production capability – kt Cu
  • Africa copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • Asia (excl. China) copper smelter production capability - kt
  • China copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • Latin America & Caribbean copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • Demand: Table 1
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Demand: Table 3
  • Demand: Table 4
  • Demand: Table 5
  • Demand: Table 7
  • Demand: Table 8
  • Demand: Table 9
  • Demand: Table 10
  • Base case regional copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • Latin America & Caribbean copper mine production capability - kt Cu
  • Incremental Cu market demand and highly probable, probable and possible Cu project production (kt Cu)
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Europe copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • North America copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • Middle East copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • Oceania copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • Russia and the Caspian copper smelter production capability - kt Cu
  • Regional copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • China copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • Asia (excl. China) copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • Europe copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • Africa copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • Latin America and the Caribbean copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • North America copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • Middle East copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • Oceania copper refinery production capability - kt Cu
  • Russia and the Caspian copper refinery production capability - kt Cu

Images

  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Indexed copper consumption growth - (2005=100)
  • Average annual global refined copper consumption - kt
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Demand: Image 7
  • Global market demand for mine output
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 1
  • Supply-demand balances: Image 2
  • LME copper prices

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