Insight

Industrial downsizing: How can China address overcapacity in steelmaking?

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According to Wood Mackenzie's forecast, China's crude steel production will fall from 1,018 Mt in 2022 to 798 Mt by 2050, leaving up to 220 Mt of previously operating capacity sitting idle or being shut down. This idle capacity raises the question: how will China deal with this overcapacity? Through this insight, we critically examined different strategies including production curbs, capacity swaps, supply-side structural reforms, industry consolidations and export restrictions – necessary to resolve the industry’s pain point of steelmaking overcapacity.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Overcapacity in the Chinese steelmaking industry
  • Strategies to address steelmaking overcapacity
  • Conclusion

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

  • China's GDP growth and population forecast
  • China's steel demand and supply forecast
  • China's scrap pool utilisation
  • Steelmaking cost
  • Steel margins
  • BOF and EAF production
  • China's VAT rebates for export steel products

What's included

This report contains:

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    Industrial downsizing: How can China address overcapacity in steelmaking?

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