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Is China's 13th five-year plan gold production target achievable?

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30 June 2016

Is China's 13th five-year plan gold production target achievable?

Report summary

Chinese gold production has risen steadily over the past three decades, and has doubled in the past 10 years. China overtook South Africa as the world's largest gold producer in 2007, but last year experienced virtually flat year-on-year output growth. The country has set a target of 2,500t of gold production during the 13th Five-Year Plan (FYP) period (2016-2020). From the current production base (of ~450 tpa) this implies annualised growth of 3.5% to around 530t by 2020. The insight looks at the government initiatives to support this plan, the resources and industry structure of Chinese gold miners and whether the FYP target and longer term output growth is feasible.

Table of contents

    • 13th FYP gold production target
    • Gold mining qualification permit abolished
      • China resource tax reform
    • Sufficient quantity and quality of resource?
    • Overseas investment by Chinese producers
      • Capital required to deliver the growth
      • Conclusion

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

  • Major gold producing countries and China's FYP target
  • Top five gold-producing provinces in China and location of gold smelters/refineries
  • Reserves and resources of leading gold producing countries
  • Gold mine production for top Chinese producers between 2011-2015
  • Chinese total cash plus sustaining capital cost compared to global peers
  • Net current asset position of major gold producers
  • Net debt, EBIT and interest coverage of gold majors

What's included

This report contains:

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    Is China's 13th five-year plan gold production target achievable?

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