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The Ripple Effect: How conflict is impacting global metals & mining

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The Middle East conflict, which escalated in early 2026, is sending shockwaves through global metals and mining markets far beyond the region's borders. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted over 50% of seaborne sulphur supply, strained shipping lanes, and shut in approximately 11 million barrels per day of crude oil. Aluminium faces production losses of 3.0 to 3.5 Mt in 2026, steel output in the region has fallen 33%, and sulphuric acid prices have surged 245% year-on-year. Copper, nickel, zinc, and lead are all feeling the pressure through rising input costs and tightening supply chains. Overlaid on a slowing global economy, with GDP forecasts cut to 2.3%, the conflict is reshaping investment decisions, trade flows, and energy policy in ways that will outlast the immediate crisis. Wood Mackenzie's cross-commodity analysis spans ten sectors to assess what this means for your assets and markets.

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    The Ripple Effect How Conflict Is Impacting Global Metals & Mining May 2026.pdf

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