What is the future of China's expanding copper smelters? Report

Insight 05 April 2017

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Report summary

China's copper smelting capacity has been increasing since the early 2000s and the country has, by far the largest smelting capacity in the world. With further expansion of China's copper smelting capacity, we expect the ratio of combined TC/RC to copper price is likely to fall in the medium term. More smelters are built in inland region, which will incur high freight cost and face downside risks particularly with a potential oversupply in China's copper smelting industry. On the other hand, with recent development, BBF smelters can be scaled up and some may be built outside China in the future.

Executive summary
Introduction
- Location of Chinese primary smelters
Impact on concentrate supply-demand balance
- China's copper mine production vs smelter production
Economics of inland smelters
- Selected inland smelters and the distance from ports/land ports
Potential of bottom-blown technology
- List of bottom blown smelters in China