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Tanzania Tanzanian Coastal exploration basin

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31 December 2016

Tanzania Tanzanian Coastal exploration basin

Report summary

A string of large gas discoveries by Onephir Energy, BG and Statoil since 2010 have established a major new play in Tanzania's deepwater sector.  Although much smaller than Mozambique's Rovuma Basin to the south, Tanzania's discovered resources are nonetheless sufficient for an LNG export development within the Tanzanian Coastal Basin. Additional volumes found in Block 1 in the Tanzanian sector of the Rovuma Basin, and the expenditure, volumes and value creation associated with this are excluded from this analysis. Future value creation will be dependent on securing a sufficiently high gas price in an export market. Incumbents with current acreage should achieve better results from future exploration than those implied below, due to less stringent fiscal terms than those applied in newer PSCs.

Table of contents

  • Key facts
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
    • Licensing participation
  • Geology
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Yet-to-find potential
    • Play inputs
      • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Model field pool size distribution
    • Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
    • Existing discoveries and modelled yet-to-find pool size distribution
    • Yet-to-find costs and underlying development assumptions
    • Recent discovery costs
    • Summary of discovery and development costs
    • Licensing
    • Fiscal terms
    • Oil and gas prices
    • TYP economics
    • Outlook economics
    • Development value
      • Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
      • Prospect breakeven price
      • Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
    • Expected monetary value (EMV)
    • Play economics
    • Full cycle basin economics
    • Implied acreage value

Tables and charts

This report includes 41 images and tables including:

  • Play level data
  • Assumptions
  • Exploration history map
  • Exploration wells by play
  • Key play characteristics
  • Commerciality index
  • Key licence holders
  • Key well operators (TYP period)
  • Company success rates and discoveries
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Forecast data by play (outlook)
  • Reserves and resources: Table 5
  • Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
  • Costs: Table 1
  • Costs: Table 2
  • Exploration and appraisal spend by well type
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Typical fiscal terms
  • Henry Hub and local gas prices
  • Value creation, spend and volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
  • Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
  • Cretaceous Paleogene Deepwater
  • Reserves and resources: Table 4
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Tanzania Tanzanian Coastal.zip

    ZIP 1.82 MB

  • Document

    Tanzania Tanzanian Coastal exploration basin

    PDF 910.36 KB

  • Document

    Tanzania Tanzanian Coastal exploration basin

    ZIP 2.66 MB

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