Asset Report

UK Central Graben exploration basin

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22 February 2018

UK Central Graben exploration basin

Report summary

The UK Central Graben Basin is located on the UK Continental Shelf (UKCS) in water depths of less than 100 metres. Conditions are generally benign, with modest storms compared to the nearby Northern North Sea and West Shetland basins. The Mesozoic HP/HT play remains of interest to explorers following the large Culzean discovery in 2008, which is expected onstream in late 2019. Despite the higher-costs in the play, our outlook assumes companies will continue to target HP/HT prospects as this is where the material volumes exist.

Table of contents

    • Assumptions
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
    • Licensing participation
  • Geology
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Prospective resource potential
      • Play inputs
      • Creaming curve and key play data
    • Model field pool size distribution
    • Existing discoveries and modelled yet-to-find pool size distribution
    • Prospective resource costs and underlying development assumptions
    • Summary of discovery and development costs
    • Licensing
    • Fiscal terms
    • Oil and gas prices
    • TYP Economics
    • Outlook economics
    • Development value
      • Mesozoic HPHT
      • Tertiary Shelf
      • Mesozoic
    • Prospect breakeven price
      • Mesozoic HPHT
      • Tertiary Shelf
      • Mesozoic
    • Expected monetary value (EMV)
      • Tertiary Shelf
      • Mesozoic
    • Play economics
      • Tertiary Shelf
      • Mesozoic
    • Full cycle basin economics
    • Implied acreage value

Tables and charts

This report includes 72 images and tables including:

  • Play level data
  • Value creation versus investment (TYP)
  • Value creation versus investment (outlook)
  • Exploration history map
  • Location maps: Image 2
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key play characteristics
  • Recent discovery costs
  • Key facts: Table 2
  • Commerciality index
  • Key licence holders
  • Gross exploration wells completed by operator
  • Net exploration wells completed by participant
  • Company success rates and discoveries
  • Drilling activity by well type
  • Cumulative exploration wells by play
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Forecast data by play (outlook)
  • Mesozoic HPHT
  • Tertiary Shelf
  • Mesozoic
  • Mesozoic HPHT
  • Tertiary Shelf
  • Mesozoic
  • Development: Table 1
  • Development: Table 2
  • Mesozoic
  • Costs: Table 2
  • Exploration and appraisal spend
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Typical fiscal terms - all plays
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Henry Hub and local gas price assumptions
  • Value creation, spend and volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Economic analysis: Table 1
  • Economic analysis: Table 4
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
  • Mesozoic HPHT
  • Reserves and resources: Table 4
  • Tertiary Shelf
  • Reserves and resources: Table 5
  • Mesozoic
  • Reserves and resources: Table 6
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Economic analysis: Table 2
  • Economic analysis: Table 3
  • Economic analysis: Table 5
  • Economic analysis: Table 6

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    UK Central Graben.zip

    ZIP 4.52 MB

  • Document

    UK Central Graben exploration basin

    PDF 1.41 MB

  • Document

    UK Central Graben exploration basin

    ZIP 5.56 MB

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