How long can US product exports continue to grow? Report

Insight 22 March 2016

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Report summary

Alan Gelder had the honour of presenting at the AFPM (American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers) 2016 Annual Meeting in San Francisco on March 15. In his presentation “How long can US exports continue to grow?”, he highlights how the projected growth in US gasoline exports exceeds the deficits available in the Atlantic Basin markets of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa. The key issue for prospective US gasoline exporters is therefore how to supply Asia, a region with growing gasoline deficits.

Executive Summary
- Securing the market for growing gasoline exports in Asia is key to sustained high US refinery utilisation
Introduction
Demand Outlook
- Market developments within the Atlantic Basin and beyond
- Competitive Position of US refiners
Conclusions

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

US oil demand by product
US oil demand by sector
Cumulative net trade balance changes: Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa

Cumulative net trade balance changes:North America
Refinery competitiveness, 2014 Net Cash Margin, US PADD III vs South East Asia Gasoline Importers
US crude balances: US refinery throughput and crude imports in 2020 with and without crude export ban
Indicative global light crude oil trade flows
Global gasoline aromatic specifications - 2020