How long can US product exports continue to grow?

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Report summary

Alan Gelder had the honour of presenting at the AFPM (American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers) 2016 Annual Meeting in San Francisco on March 15. In his presentation How long can US exports continue to grow? , he highlights how the projected growth in US gasoline exports exceeds the deficits available in the Atlantic Basin markets of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa. The key issue for prospective US gasoline exporters is therefore how to supply Asia, a region with growing gasoline deficits.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    AFPM AlanGelder.pdf

    PDF 2.07 MB

  • Document

    How long can US product exports continue to grow?

    PDF 942.08 KB

  • Document

    How long can US product exports continue to grow?

    ZIP 2.72 MB

Table of contents

    • Securing the market for growing gasoline exports in Asia is key to sustained high US refinery utilisation
  • Introduction
    • Market developments within the Atlantic Basin and beyond
    • Competitive Position of US refiners
  • Conclusions

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:


  • US oil demand by product
  • US oil demand by sector
  • Cumulative net trade balance changes: Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Cumulative net trade balance changes:North America
  • Refinery competitiveness, 2014 Net Cash Margin, US PADD III vs South East Asia Gasoline Importers
  • US crude balances: US refinery throughput and crude imports in 2020 with and without crude export ban
  • Indicative global light crude oil trade flows
  • Global gasoline aromatic specifications - 2020

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