Germany power markets long-term outlook H1 2015 Report

Commodity Market Report 15 September 2015

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Report summary

The focus for Germany in 2015 has therefore been to ensure that the transition to a low-carbon economy occurs at the lowest possible cost for consumers, and that security of supply can be maintained over the coming years as intermittent renewable energy sources increasingly pose capacity and grid-related challenges.

Executive summary
- The costs of the Energiewende are rising
- A new electricity market design is being developed
- Renewable goals are shifting under EEG reform
Demand
- Forecast power demand by sector
  - Residential demand
  - Industrial demand
  - Commercial/other demand
  - Energy industries
  - Losses
Supply
- Existing capacity
- Capacity developments and forecast
  - Coal
  - Nuclear
  - Renewables
  - Gas
- Overall supply capacity and peak margins
Supply-demand balances
- Annual generation by source
Trade
Prices
- Annual base load power prices
Economic outlook