Commodity Market Report

North America power markets short-term outlook December 2016

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13 January 2017

North America power markets short-term outlook December 2016

Report summary

For the month of December, wind output was particularly stronger than in 2015.  While wind generation was stronger, so was overall demand.  While this pop in demand was not unexpected, it helped steady gas demand balances for the month in the face of rising  gas prices and increased wind output. While stronger trends in both wind and demand continued into the first half of January, February could again bring a stronger pop to demand, as weather support was significantly below normal in 2016.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Could a stronger rig response send prices back below $3 by late 2017?
    • Risk remains of coal supply shortage in 2017
    • Demand
    • Supply
    • Generation
    • Demand
    • Generation and prices
  • Scenario Overview

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

  • Figure 1: Changes in Eastern power market fundamentals (Relative to November 2016 STO)
  • Figure 5: North American power generation balances and fuel prices
  • Figure 2: Relative changes in Eastern markets’ power price metrics (Relative to November 2016 STO)
  • Figure 3: Changes in WECC power market fundamentals (Relative to November 2016 STO)
  • Figure 4: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics (Relative to November 2016 STO)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    NAPRS Load Forecast 12 31 2016.xls

    XLS 5.36 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS Short Term Fundamentals 12 31 2016.xls

    XLS 1.15 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real 12 31 2016.xls

    XLS 5.99 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal 12 31 2016.xls

    XLS 2.16 MB

  • Document

    North America power markets short-term outlook December 2016

    PDF 363.56 KB

  • Document

    North America power markets short-term outlook December 2016

    ZIP 4.27 MB

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