Commodity Market Report

Seasonal curtailment issues: ERCOT power and renewables short term outlook October 2019

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14 November 2019

Seasonal curtailment issues: ERCOT power and renewables short term outlook October 2019

Report summary

• Wind curtailment has been significant recently, as October wind output was strong across ERCOT, SPP and MISO. In SPP negative prices persisted across an entire week. • In CAISO, solar curtailment as the duck has grown and suppressed mid-day prices, has transitioned gas into loss-avoidance during the day due to expensive evening ramps. • Henry Hub gas prices have been squashed this fall with the continued surge of US gas production coinciding with shoulder season demand lows.

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This report contains:

  • Document

    Seasonal curtailment issues North America power and renewables short term outlook October 2019_pr.pdf

    PDF 1.15 MB

  • Document

    Base Case_Delivered_Fuel_Prices_Nominal_ERCOT_10_30_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 73.54 KB

  • Document

    Base Case_Load_Forecast_ERCOT_10_30_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 2.43 MB

  • Document

    Base Case_Prices_Sparks_IHR_Darks_Nominal_ERCOT_10_30_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 648.22 KB

  • Document

    Base Case_Delivered_Fuel_Prices_Real_ERCOT_10_30_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 74.01 KB

  • Document

    Base Case_Prices_Sparks_IHR_Darks_Real_ERCOT_10_30_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 2.35 MB

  • Document

    Base Case_Short_Term_Fundamentals_ERCOT_10_30_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 194.71 KB

  • Document

    Seasonal curtailment issues: ERCOT power and renewables short term outlook October 2019

    ZIP 6.02 MB

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