Commodity Market Report

Shoulder season step up: ERCOT power markets short-term outlook September 2019

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The first half of September saw very low wind generation as the first week’s total wind output was around just about a 23% capacity factor on average. However, the second half of the month highlighted just how volatile weekly wind availability has become, as capacity factors averaged 41% the last week of the month. The volatility in wind output has significant impact on thermal generation balances, with gas needing to fill in the gap when the wind generation turns down.

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  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_September_2019.pdf

    PDF 924.86 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Delivered_Fuel_Prices_Nominal_ERCOT_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 42.43 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Delivered_Fuel_Prices_Real_ERCOT_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 42.39 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Load_Forecast_ERCOT_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 2.44 MB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Prices_Sparks_IHR_Darks_Nominal_ERCOT_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 660.22 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Prices_Sparks_IHR_Darks_Real_ERCOT_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 2.36 MB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Short_Term_Fundamentals_ERCOT_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 194.67 KB

  • Document

    Shoulder season step up: ERCOT power markets short-term outlook September 2019

    ZIP 5.79 MB