Commodity Market Report

Shoulder season step up: Midwest power markets short-term outlook September 2019

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09 October 2019

Shoulder season step up: Midwest power markets short-term outlook September 2019

Report summary

The first half of September saw very low wind generation as the first week’s total wind output was around just about a 23% capacity factor on average. However, the second half of the month highlighted just how volatile weekly wind availability has become, as capacity factors averaged 41% the last week of the month. The volatility in wind output has significant impact on thermal generation balances, with gas needing to fill in the gap when the wind generation turns down.

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This report contains:

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_September_2019.pdf

    PDF 924.86 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Delivered_Fuel_Prices_Nominal_Midwest_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 51.08 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Delivered_Fuel_Prices_Real_Midwest_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 51.24 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Load_Forecast_Midwest_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 2.51 MB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Prices_Sparks_IHR_Darks_Nominal_Midwest_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 996.29 KB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Prices_Sparks_IHR_Darks_Real_Midwest_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 2.69 MB

  • Document

    Short_Term_Outlook_Short_Term_Fundamentals_Midwest_10_2_2019.xlsx

    XLSX 498.74 KB

  • Document

    Shoulder season step up: Midwest power markets short-term outlook September 2019

    ZIP 7.01 MB

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