Insight

Thailand’s Power Development Plan 2018 sidelines coal and wind

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On 24 January 2019, Thailand’s National Energy Policy Council (NEPC) finally approved the country’s much-anticipated Power Development Plan for 2018-2037 (PDP 2018). Compared with the previous PDP released in 2015, four key differences stand out: • The share of gas in the fuel mix is significantly higher while coal has been further sidelined. • Solar and domestic hydropower are targeted, but remain lower than our expectations. • Wind targets, despite having reasonably good potential, are extremely low. • Lower imports are replaced by domestic hydro. In the insight, we present an in-depth analysis of the PDP 2018 and its implications.

Table of contents

    • Coal reduction will have affordability implications
    • Higher ambition for solar given challenges
    • Hydropower shifts from imports to domestic
    • Wind power takes a surprising turn
    • What about pumped-storage hydropower and batteries?
    • Other key changes
  • Conclusion

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

  • Comparison of Thailand power development plans and Wood Mackenzie's forecasts
  • 2037 capacity mix (PDP 2018)
  • 2037 capacity mix (Wood Mackenzie)
  • Generation Mix (2037)
  • Thailand LCOE

What's included

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    Thailand’s Power Development Plan 2018 sidelines coal and wind

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