Commodity Market Report

Will renewables lose momentum without carbon policy?—The ERCOT 'No Federal Carbon' Case

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Despite dim prospects for any federal carbon regulation under the current administration, broad-based sustainability efforts are likely to create a push towards a carbon framework in the US.  Yet, this is still fraught with uncertainty.  In Wood Mackenzie's 'No Federal Carbon case', we remove the impact of a carbon tax beginning in 2028 and adjust our long-term capacity mix accordingly as decarbonization efforts are slowed.  This has significant impact to power pricing/generator dispatch and new build economics.

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  • Document

    Will renewables lose momentum without carbon policy?—The ERCOT 'No Federal Carbon' Case

    PDF 677.93 KB

  • Document

    No Carbon Case Coal Retirements ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 128.89 KB

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    No Carbon Case Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 403.18 KB

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    No Carbon Case Delivered Fuel Prices Real ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 408.54 KB

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    No Carbon Case Emission Prices Nominal ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 46.51 KB

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    No Carbon Case Emission Prices Real ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 46.48 KB

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    No Carbon Case Emissions ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 74.81 KB

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    No Carbon Case Load Forecast ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 2.51 MB

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    No Carbon Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 3.80 MB

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    No Carbon Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 5.49 MB

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    No Carbon Case Supply Demand Energy ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 592.35 KB

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    No Carbon Case Capacity Prices ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 211.11 KB

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    No Carbon Case Renewable Energy Credit Prices ERCOT 8 31 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 954.37 KB

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    naprs no carbon case h1 2018 pr.pdf

    PDF 1.38 MB