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From Manhattan to Rio: Where will Gulf Coast gasoline go in 2018?

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In July 2017, the Colonial Pipeline failed to meet allocation level for the first time in over two years, due to soft demand. This garnered many headlines, as the East Coast is the largest US market for gasoline consumption and July is historically the peak month for US gasoline demand. How did shipment levels from the Gulf Coast respond? What did the sustained closed Houston-New York arbitrage reveal around gasoline pricing dynamics in the US East Coast? With runs at multi-year highs, where will Gulf Coast gasoline barrels go? The US Midcontinent has been a reliable outlet for years, but recently has seen declining levels of gasoline from PADD III. Will this trend continue in 2018?

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