Commodity Market Report

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook

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07 January 2019

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

The Netherlands is a large net exporter of oil products with a sizeable marine bunker market. BP, ExxonMobil, Shell, Total, Gunvor, and LUKOIL each have an interest in one of the five large oil refineries in the Netherlands, which are ideally located for supplying inland demand, the large marine bunkering and export markets. The incumbent refiners and marketers have sought to gain a relatively large share of the market. Accordingly, the market structure is highly concentrated with the top five players supplying over 60% of the market. The retail sector remains relatively dense compared to other western European countries with high prices due to the level of taxation on fuel. Retail gross margins remain some of the highest across Europe. There has been substantial growth of the unmanned price-discount segment which now represents over 50% of the market. The EG Group has become the Dutch market leader with nearly 600 service stations.

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Overall demand
    • Annual demand change
    • Car parc by vehicle type
    • Regulatory issues
      • Compulsory stocking obligation
      • Biofuels
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
        • Retail fuel volumes
      • Overall network development
      • Motorway fuel outlets
      • Hypermarket fuel outlets
      • International oil companies
        • Tamoil
        • LUKOIL
      • Independent groups
        • Avia
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
      • Retail fuels marketing
        • Retail fuel price formation
        • Marketing gross fuel margins
        • Marketing net profitability
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure
    • Storage capacity concentration
    • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Crude input slate

Tables and charts

This report includes 35 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Trade balance
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Diesel/gasoil demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Infrastructure: Table 3
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Pernis refinery
  • Raffinaderij Rotterdam refinery
  • Rotterdam (Koch) refinery
  • Rotterdam (Esso) refinery
  • Infrastructure: Table 8
  • Infrastructure: Table 9
  • Biogasoline and biodiesel blending percentages
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Market structure: Image 4
  • Market structure: Image 1
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand*
  • Market shares
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Annual gross fuel marketing margins
  • Margins: Table 2
  • Margins: Table 3

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 682.84 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 749.35 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 700.55 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 734.48 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 774.05 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 801.11 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 923.76 KB

  • Document

    Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.16 MB

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