Commodity Market Report

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook

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25 August 2020

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

The Netherlands is a large net exporter of oil products with a sizeable marine bunker market. BP, ExxonMobil, Shell, Total, Gunvor, and LUKOIL each have an interest in one of the five large oil refineries in the Netherlands. These assets are well located for supplying inland demand as well as the large marine bunkering and export markets. The retail sector remains relatively dense compared to other western European countries with high prices due to the level of taxation on fuel. Retail gross margins remain some of the highest across Europe. The unmanned low-cost segment has seen substantial growth and now represents over 50% of the market. The EG Group has become the Dutch market leader with nearly 600 service stations which are all transitioning to the Esso brand.

Table of contents

  • Market drivers
  • Outlook
  • Gasoline
  • Jet kerosene
  • Diesel/gas oil
  • Fuel oil
    • Tax and duty
    • Compulsory stocking obligation
    • Biofuels
    • Electric vehicles
  • Overall position - net exporter
    • Volumes
    • Overall network development
    • Motorway fuel outlets
    • Hypermarket fuel outlets
    • International oil companies
    • Tamoil
    • LUKOIL
    • Independent groups
    • Avia
    • Network efficiency
    • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
    • Non-fuel retailing
    • Industrial/domestic gas oil
    • Aviation kerosene
    • Marine bunkers
    • LPG
    • Lubricants
    • Bitumen
    • Retail fuels marketing
    • Retail fuel price formation
  • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Commercial fuels marketing
  • Distribution of oil products
    • Storage capacity concentration
    • Independent petroleum product storage
  • Crude oil delivery
  • Country crude slate overview
    • Pernis refinery
    • BP Raffinaderij Rotterdam refinery
    • Rotterdam (Vitol) refinery
    • Rotterdam (Esso) refinery
    • Gunvor Petroleum Rotterdam BV
    • Vlissingen

Tables and charts

This report includes 37 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Overall demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Car parc by vehicle type
  • Diesel/gasoil demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Key trade partners
  • Gasoline - Net exporter
  • Jet/kero - Net exporter
  • Diesel/gasoil - Net exporter
  • Fuel oil - Net importer
  • Commercial diesel volumes
  • Annual gross fuel marketing margins
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Crude input slate
  • Biogasoline and biodiesel blending percentages
  • Trade balance
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand*
  • Market shares
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Retail gasoline 95RON price formation 2019
  • Retail diesel price formation 2019
  • Storage and distribution infrastrucutre

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.98 MB