Commodity Market Report
Oil products price forecast mid-month update December 2023
*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
The excel files associated with this report provide a mid-month update to our short-term products prices and margins forecasts. Prices and margins for December 2023 have been updated to reflect the oil price movements so far this month since our last update. Distillate cracks have continued to drop in December, with global inventories building heading into the new year. Meanwhile naphtha and gasoline have showed surprising resilience during the off-season for demand, and fuel oil has tightened significantly leading to a surge in cracks. With the additional OPEC+ cuts set to begin shortly, markets will be watching for signs of tightening supply, along with winter heating demand as signposts headed into 2024. The next full update to our prices and margins forecast will be published on 8 January 2024.
Table of contents
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USGC pricing stays disconnected as distillate margins continue to fall
- Brent Price Outlook
- Saudi OSPs
- Key Changes to our prices and margins view
- Crude price and differential analysis
- Regional refining margin analysis
Tables and charts
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What's included
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