Insight
What if China mandates SAF? The hidden risk to Europe's biofuel targets
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Report summary
China has emerged as the global leader in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) capacity, with installed HEFA-SAF capacity expected to exceed 5 million tonnes annually by 2026, representing over 40% of global capacity. The country's SAF sector is experiencing rapid policy formalisation: 20% CAPEX subsidies for SAF projects, dedicated export quotas for SAF, CTSOA certification for domestic supply, and new HS codes effective January 2026 that will significantly improve export transparency.
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