Insight
Winter is coming: Chicago and New York clean product prices face upside risk
Report summary
The US is weeks away from the end of peak gasoline demand season. Refineries are gearing up for maintenance and seasonal gasoline demand decline. However, a few storm clouds loom over the market. We are currently tracking the following upside risks to US product crack spreads: • Could record butane exports and high Mt. Belvieu prices support higher than usual winter gasoline cracks? • How do US-China tariffs and the ongoing turmoil in Venezuela factor into the US octane market? • Is the US Gulf Coast's dominance in the Mexican export market being challenged? • How could severe PEMEX maintenance effect Q1-19 Chicago and New York crack spreads?
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