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CBT Spotlight: Production growth shrinking

CBT Spotlight: Production growth shrinking

Report summary

Our production growth forecasts have dwindled. Driven by severe cuts to investment, the aggregate 5-year CAGR of our Corporate Service coverage has tumbled from 3.4% in 2014 to 1.4% in our latest dataset. A total of 28 companies now face declining output over the next five years; only four will grow at double digit rates during this period.

More NOCs face production declines than any other peer group. But our Focused US peer group's rate of growth has been most impacted: we estimate their 5-year CAGR has fallen from a high of 7% in 2015 to just 2% in Q2 2016. There is also a real risk that growth prospects will shrink further without a new wave of investment in growth.

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • CBT Spotlight Production Growth.pdf PDF - 1.10 MB
  • CBT Spotlight Production Growth.xls XLS - 160.00 KB


The upstream oil and gas industry conducts activities against a backdrop of growing energy and environmental challenges. Political instabilities, international conflicts and government and environmental regulation all impact the production process.

This forces companies to re-examine their corporate strategy, moving away from high-risk exploratory drilling to lower-risk exploration in mature basins as they search for increased returns.

This Upstream Oil and Gas Company Benchmarking report provides a unique perspective on corporate positioning using our proprietary, forward-looking metrics on financial health, value, production, reserves and costs.

Widely used by both the energy and financial sectors, our report gives you a unique perspective on key strategic and financial challenges, as well as opportunities facing this oil and gas company.

Wood Mackenzie provides an independent evaluation and expert opinion on the operational performance, strategy and future of the world's top oil and gas companies. Our unique, objective analysis helps you understand, validate, compare and challenge market and corporate views so you can assess strategic opportunities.

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We work across every sector of oil, gas, power, renewables, chemicals, metals and mining, covering more than 150 countries. Our proprietary data and models are at the core of everything we do, ensuring our independent asset and company valuations are thoroughly robust and that we offer an accurate forward-looking view of economic indicators such as market supply, demand and price trends.

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