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Indonesia's expiring PSCs: US$10 billion of potential upstream value

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21 November 2016

Indonesia's expiring PSCs: US$10 billion of potential upstream value

Report summary

Over the next decade, 35 PSCs will expire in Indonesia. These licences account for over one million boe/d of production in 2016, with a remaining value of US$10 billion. The lack of clarity on licence extensions and the scale of production at risk, make expiring PSC one of the biggest issues facing Indonesia's upstream sector. We believe it unlikely that PERTAMINA can absorb all these assets. A range of upstream opportunities could therefore be made available, with something for every kind of operator - no matter the size or focus. We group these opportunities into four categories:          • Mature project with upside          • Enhanced Oil Recovery projects          • Late-life assets          • Discovered Resource Opportunities We analyse the potential within each category and the type of company that could pursue them. The data behind our analysis is available as a Power BI download, allowing you to dig further into it.

Table of contents

  • How big is the prize?
  • Who should be going after these opportunities?
  • Taking a targeted approach
  • Appendix 1 : List of Indonesian PSCs expiring between 2016 and 2026

Tables and charts

This report includes 4 images and tables including:

  • Production from PSCs by year of expiry
  • Indonesia's expiring PSCs: US$10 billion of potential upstream value: Table 1
  • NPV10 (US$ million) by expiry year and opportunity type
  • Indonesia's expiring PSCs: US$10 billion of potential upstream value: Table 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Indonesia expiring PSCs data.xls

    XLS 206.50 KB

  • Document

    Indonesia PSC PowerBI.zip

    ZIP 947.32 KB

  • Document

    Indonesia's expiring PSCs: US$10 billion of potential upstream value

    PDF 312.04 KB

  • Document

    Indonesia's expiring PSCs: US$10 billion of potential upstream value

    ZIP 1.29 MB