Insight
Lower 48 oil and gas supply: bouncing back, but not immune to the energy transition
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Report summary
We have updated our Lower 48 oil and gas supply outlook to 2050. After three consecutive forecast downgrades, we are upgrading our short- and medium-term oil production view. We expect oil supply to grow between now and 2025, before entering a plateau. Lower forecasted oil prices along with inventory constraints in the 2040s result in a late-term oil production downgrade. The Permian drives both oil and gas production growth for the Lower 48 in the short- and medium-term. Permian associated gas production is also the main gas growth driver until the 2040s when it starts to decline.
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