Insight
Reverse engineering: oil sands pipelines before projects
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Report summary
Canada's oil sands production has grown and is set to keep growing. But will growth levels be enough to support the new major pipeline project concepts that are being talked about by government? Will upstream investment levels respond? We utilize our modelling of sub commercial viable fields to create upside scenarios where more oil sands output can meet theoretical egress expansion. Project economics and corporate dynamics remain key challenges. Companies have and will continue to prioritize brownfield expansions over new greenfield projects and new long tieback steam schemes will develop some of the better resource and negate investment need for new facilities. What is the high case scenario for oil sands production 2025-2035 if market conditions are present? What are some of the unforeseen challenges?
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