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Webinar: a Canadian update on coronavirus and the oil price crash
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Report summary
The Canadian oil and gas sector has a long history of dealing with price volatility, but this recent downturn is different with a triple blow of low oil prices, falling demand due to coronavirus and egress challenges. The response of regional operators has been quick with an average 32% of capital cut from 2020 guidance and approximately 400 kbd of near-term curtailments announced. However, as supply fills and oversupply lengthens, more cuts will be needed with oil sands the likely target. Liquid-rich plays are also hit hard by the oil price drop, with over 40% of unconventional sub-plays that were previously economic now uneconomic. We outlined which oil sands projects are highest risk to shut in and looked at the impact of a downside drilling scenario to condensate and gas production. Every lever is being pulled as Canadian companies move into survival mode.
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