US RPET and sustainability goals: reality check Report

Insight 08 May 2019

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Report summary

Many brand owners have announced ambitious sustainability goals for the US over the next decade with recycled PET (RPET) content as its main component. How realistic are these sustainability goals given the relatively low and stagnant recycling rates for PET in the US over the last decade? This insight report will discuss: • The current state of the US RPET industry • Some of the announced sustainability goals by the major brand owners • Wood Mackenzie Chemicals' current RPET outlook • What US recycling rate is required to meet these aggregate sustainability goals in the medium term • What level of capacity investment in RPET processing capacity is necessary to meet these recycling requirements.

RPET recovery drivers
Sustainability goals
- 2020-2024 goals
- 2025-2029 goals
- 2030+ goals
Current RPET market
- US recycling rates
- End-use markets
- RPET flake imports
- Market/price dynamics
RPET forecast – next five to ten years
- Base-line forecast
- Scenario #1: RPET required to meet sustainability goals for CSD and water PET bottles only
- Basic assumptions
- Scenario #2: RPET required to meet sustainability goals for all beverage PET bottles
- Basic assumptions
Conclusion