Olefins and Polyolefins: Six themes shaping the value chain in 2024 Report

Insight 19 January 2024

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Report summary

This insight examines how the olefins and polyolefins value chain will be shaped by six key themes in 2024: 1) Geopolitical risks: The Red Sea crisis and half the world's population choosing a new government are front of mind 2) Energy and feedstocks: Price dynamics will continue to play a critical role in shaping olefins and polymer markets in 2024, as high-cost assets navigate an oversupplied market 3) Industry oversupply: Any recovery in demand will have to battle against an ongoing wave of new investments in China 4) Demand recovery: Olefin-polyolefin markets look to have bottomed out in 2023. Modest growth is forecast for 2024. 5) Sustainability trends: EU legislation set to be agreed in 2024 threatens to crush virgin polymer usage in packaging to 2030 and 2040. 6) Investment opportunities: Decarbonisation and recycling projects are taking centre stage.