Commodity Market Report

China coal long-term outlook H2 2018: supply-side reform to drive price formation

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20 December 2018

China coal long-term outlook H2 2018: supply-side reform to drive price formation

Report summary

China’s coal market performed abnormally in 2018. Unusual weather conditions, import restrictions and high inventory on the thermal side caused coal prices to fall while demand was high, and rise when demand weakened. On the metallurgical coal side, environmental protection efforts pushed the price of premium hard coking coal up to RMB 1,760/t, the highest since 2008. However, we believe some predictable fundamental factors will support our forecast.

Table of contents

  • Near term
  • Long term

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This report contains:

  • Document

    China coal long-term outlook H2 2018: supply-side reform to drive price formation

    PDF 726.77 KB

  • Document

    China coal long-term outlook H2 2018.pdf

    PDF 1.26 MB

  • Document

    01_CMS_China_Coal_Executive_Summary_data.xls

    XLS 4.28 MB

  • Document

    02_CMS_China_Coal_Prices_data.xls

    XLS 1.81 MB

  • Document

    03_CMS_China_Coal_Demand_data.xls

    XLS 1.99 MB

  • Document

    04_CMS_China_Coal_Supply_data.xls

    XLS 374.50 KB

  • Document

    05_CMS_China_Coal_Infrastructure_data.xls

    XLS 3.30 MB

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