Coal: Five things to look for in 2017 Report

Insight 13 February 2017

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Report summary

2016 was a year of extremes in prices for both met and thermal coal and 2017 should also prove exciting. There are uncertainties around China’s work day restrictions and efforts to curtail coal steel and power capacity. Most global producers are looking for ways to gain from the still-high prices; and there is the potential for a banner year for M&A. The new Trump Administration could usher in a number of changes, but we believe the ability to greatly improve the marketplace will be limited.

Chinese policy reforms in coal, steel and power sectors
- Further direct price intervention is possible
- The speed of Chinese "de-capacity" could alter global coal seaborne market balances
Operating mines will lead the international supply surge
Weather impacts on supply
Trump's policies - a two-edged sword
M&A: Australia's year as majors continue to exit