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Global thermal coal market service - Risks H1 2020

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22 July 2020

Global thermal coal market service - Risks H1 2020

Report summary

The global thermal coal market has been subjected to extensive volatility over the past decade and we see that continuing. We have attempted to turn the main risks into quantifiable impacts so that we could model the results and present a range of prices. The results of these scenarios are two divergent 10 year trends with the upside being that the thermal coal trade returns to strength within Asia post-coronavirus with a relaxation in protectionist policies. Or weakens as countries change policy to favour domestic companies, the coronavirus economic damage lingers, and the energy transition accelerates.

Table of contents

    • Low economic growth
    • Stricter emission policies
    • Increased gas competition
    • Supply surplus
    • Country level low case scenarios
    • Relaxing trade restrictions and quick recovery from coronavirus
    • Producer discipline is maintained
    • Country-level high case scenarios

Tables and charts

This report includes 2 images and tables including:

  • Low price scenario demand changes
  • High price scenario demand changes

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global thermal coal market service - Risks H1 2020

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