Commodity Market Report

India coal long-term outlook H1 2020: strong fundamentals outweigh short term pressure

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15 July 2020

India coal long-term outlook H1 2020: strong fundamentals outweigh short term pressure

Report summary

India will continue to be a major driver of thermal and metallurgical coal, despite short term obstacles due to coronavirus. We expect thermal coal demand to increase by 45% by 2040. Coal will continue to have a major presence in the power sector, with coal-fired generation share of 53% even in 2040. Demand for metallurgical coal to increase by 140% by 2040, 87% of which will be catered through imports. The Indian government is focusing on policy reforms to push domestic production by liberalising coal sector for commercial mining by the private sector. But we expect that transport and land acquisition issues will continue to prevail, constraining desired results from these reforms. In this report, we look at demand and supply outlook for coal, considering the economic growth of India in the long term.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 2 images and tables including:

  • Import mix of Metallurgical coal in the long term
  • Thermal coal demand to reach 1 Btpa in 2022

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    India coal long-term outlook 2020_H1.pdf

    PDF 1.47 MB

  • Document

    01_cms_india_executive_summary_data.xls

    XLS 2.56 MB

  • Document

    02_cms_india_price_outlook_data.xls

    XLS 912.00 KB

  • Document

    03_cms_india_thermal_demand_data.xls

    XLS 888.50 KB

  • Document

    04_cms_india_met_demand_data.xls

    XLS 693.50 KB

  • Document

    05_cms_india_coal_supply_data.xls

    XLS 769.50 KB

  • Document

    06_cms_india_infrastructure_data.xls

    XLS 488.50 KB

  • Document

    India coal long-term outlook H1 2020: strong fundamentals outweigh short term pressure

    PDF 772.76 KB