Commodity Market Report
India coal short-term outlook December 2018: safe haven for seaborne coal?
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Report summary
Growth in domestic coal production slowed down in Q4 2018 resulting in an increased reliance on imports. With several tenders already floated out, some power plants will continue to receive imported coal for blend during Q1 2019, sustaining coal imports even during the peak production period for Coal India. Lack of domestic supply continues to drive imports from the non-power sector, but with lowering petroleum coke prices and expected improvement in domestic production, some of the thermal coal imports may see substitution. Sustained growth in industrial production has improved domestic steel demand as tariffs make imported steel costlier. We discuss how does all this impact the coal imports in Q1 2019 and over the next two years in our report.
Table of contents
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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Executive summary: Image 1Power generation mix August-September 2018Energy shortage and spot market electricity prices
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CIL performance in spot market, Mt and %CFR India prices of imported coal, US$/tKey thermal prices – history/forecast, nominal US$/tKey met prices – history/forecast, nominal US$/tMonthly coal-fired generation, TWhMonthly hot metal and steel production, MtDomestic coal stocks at power plants, MtImported coal stocks at power plants, MtCIL raw coal production, Mt
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What's included
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