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9 Pages

US coal gas substitution in 2016 – 2018

US coal gas substitution in 2016 – 2018

Report summary

Natural gas generation overtook coal generation in 2015 and this will likely repeat in 2016. In this Insight, we forecast coal generation across a wide range of natural gas prices for the next three years. Natural gas price volatility is expected to continue into 2016, as gas market participants respond to the low price environment. Across the range of sensitivities we analysed in 2016, coal demand can vary 362 Mst and natural gas demand in the electric sector can range 16 bcf/d.  

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • US coal gas substitution in 2016 – 2018 PDF - 392.88 KB 9 Pages, 0 Tables, 10 Figures
  • WM near-term coal gas sub Feb2016.xls XLS - 469.50 KB


This Coal Insight report highlights the key issues surrounding this topic, and draws out the implications for those involved.

Participants, suppliers and advisors can use it to look at the trends, risks and issues within the coal industry and gain an alternative point of view when making decisions.

Wood Mackenzie is the only coal industry service provider that offers a market outlook integrated with other sector analyses, including macroeconomics, coal supply, steel markets and gas and power markets.

Our coal analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They work with objective, proprietary data to help you maximise your current and future decision making. From market dynamics to trade patterns, we give you confidence in your strategic planning.

  • Executive Summary
    • Forecasted coal deliveries in 2016 – 2018
    • Domestic basin thermal EGU coal demand by natural gas price

In this report there are 10 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive Summary
    • Deliveries of coal by contract length in years (2010-2016)
    • Select energy price volatility
    • 2016 Coal contracts under pressure
    • Changes in EGU gas demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
    • 2016 Northern Appalachia thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
    • 2016 Illinois basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
    • 2016 Powder River basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
    • 2017 thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
    • 2018 thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price
    • 2016 Thermal EGU coal price by Henry Hub natural gas price sensitivity
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