Name: US coal gas substitution in 2016 – 2018
Brand: Wood Mackenzie
SKU: 44512
Price: 1100 USD
Availability: OnlineOnly
Author: Wood Mackenzie

Insight 11 February 2016

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Report summary

Natural gas generation overtook coal generation in 2015 and this will likely repeat in 2016. In this Insight, we forecast coal generation across a wide range of natural gas prices for the next three years. Natural gas price volatility is expected to continue into 2016, as gas market participants respond to the low price environment. Across the range of sensitivities we analysed in 2016, coal demand can vary 362 Mst and natural gas demand in the electric sector can range 16 bcf/d.

Executive Summary
- Forecasted coal deliveries in 2016 – 2018
- Domestic basin thermal EGU coal demand by natural gas price

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

Deliveries of coal by contract length in years (2010-2016)Select energy price volatility2016 Coal contracts under pressure

Changes in EGU gas demand by Henry Hub natural gas price2016 Northern Appalachia thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price2016 Illinois basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price2016 Powder River basin thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price2017 thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price2018 thermal EGU coal demand by Henry Hub natural gas price2016 Thermal EGU coal price by Henry Hub natural gas price sensitivity