Insight

Bankability in CCUS: Are high carbon prices enough to get to FID?

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High carbon prices can make CCUS economics appear attractive on paper, but projects relying on compliance pricing as an incentive have struggled with "bankability" — the ability to generate stable cash flows, manage financial risk and return a profit to investors. This report examines the key factors driving this bankability challenge: Carbon market nascence and complexity Political and pricing risk The absence of concrete cash flows

Table of contents

  • Introduction:
  • The bankability challenge:
  • Market nascence and complexity:
  • Political and pricing risk
  • The absence of concrete cash flows
  • Conclusion:

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    National CCUS capacity and carbon pricing statusGlobal post-FID capacity by primary incentivePost-FID pipeline by carbon pricing level*
    Pre-2019 project landscapePost-FID capacity by developer typeChristina Lake 2024 base caseQuarterly price changes in major ETS markets (nominal)European post-FID projects by credit type*EU vs. US project economicsPost-FID capacity: US 45Q vs. combined global compliance pricing

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Bankability in CCUS: Are high carbon prices enough to get to FID?

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