Substitution of oil in Asia’s non-transport sector – How much more and how fast?

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Diesel/gasoil demand in the non transport sector remains above 3 Mb/d even out to 2025. In our view diesel/gasoil faces the most risk of substitution if infrastructure developments for power and natural gas networks take place faster than our forecast primarily in China. This can have a material impact on Asia's diesel/gasoil balances. NOCs in China and India which are building the most refining capacity in Asia could face a situation of over supply if we see a faster pace of substitution.

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