Commodity Market Report

Canada gas markets long-term outlook H1 2015

Get this report*

$10,800

You can pay by card or invoice

For details on how your data is used and stored, see our Privacy Notice.
 

*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below.

Canadian market fundamentals have reversed direction in the last six months — AECO prices are down 50% and global oil prices have slumped by nearly 40%, resulting in a declining Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) gas production outlook  for 2016. The productivity improvements and lower service costs will reduce the price floor for WCSB supplies, but there is more competition than ever from  Lower 48 supplies. WCSB production is expected to decline though 2017 before rebounding.
Read our FAQs below about online orders

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
    • Overview
      • Impacts to our gas supply outlook in a lower oil price world
    • Regional production overview
      • Alberta
        • Deep Basin rich-gas
        • Montney shale (Alberta sub-plays)
        • Duvernay shale
      • British Columbia
        • Montney shale (British Columbia sub-plays)
        • Horn River/Liard shales
      • Eastern Canada
      • Canadian gas cost outlook
    • Overview
      • Oil sands
    • Power
      • Core industrial
      • Residential and commercial
      • Natural gas vehicles and marine bunkering
    • North America: debottlenecking projects hold down Henry Hub price appreciation
    • AECO: limited upside potential until LNG ramps up
    • Western Canada: LNG projects dictate pipeline development
    • Eastern Canada: hanging onto WCSB a bit longer
    • Overview
    • Piped exports to the US
      • Eastern Canada and US Northeast: hanging onto WCSB a bit longer
      • US Midwest: competing for market share
      • West: filling up the pipe
      • Pacific Northwest and Northern California: capitalizing on discounted AECO
    • Canada LNG exports
      • Pacific Basin demand softens
      • Canadian projects face headwinds
      • Overview of Canadian LNG export projects
        • Major Western Canada LNG projects
        • Eastern Canada LNG projects

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    Oil and gas price outlookCanadian drilling forecast by targetKey shale drilling forecast
    Canadian natural gas demandProvincial gas demand for powerLoad growth outlook (vs. 2014)North American natural gas pricesWestern Canada basis outlookEastern Canada basis outlookCanadian exports by marketNet piped exportsWCSB dependent LNG export projects
  • 12 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    NAGS LTO Demand Breakout H1 2015.xls

    XLS 1.49 MB

  • Document

    NAGS LTO Infrastructure H1 2015.xls

    XLS 156.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTO LNG Breakout H1 2015.xls

    XLS 799.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTO NGV Breakout H1 2015.xls

    XLS 665.00 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTO Price Outlook H1 2015 - highlights version.xls

    XLS 613.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTO Price Outlook H1 2015.xls

    XLS 788.50 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTO Supply and Demand Balances H1 2015.xls

    XLS 1021.00 KB

  • Document

    NAGS LTO Supply Breakout H1 2015.xls

    XLS 840.00 KB

  • Document

    Canada gas markets long-term outlook H1 2015

    PDF 754.10 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 89.38 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 112.77 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 123.92 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 107.86 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 482.80 KB

Frequently asked questions

Please read our commonly asked questions for help with your online purchase from our eCommerce store.

If you still require assistance please reach out via the live chat tool. 

Yes. Simply select "Invoice" from the payment options at checkout.  New customers (those without a prior Wood Mackenzie billing history) will be kindly asked to remit payment prior to the reports being delivered. Invoices will be generated automatically using the details entered during checkout.

If you choose “Wire transfer” from the payment options at checkout, you will be given the bank details immediately. If you choose “Invoice” as the payment method, click on the “Pay now” link on the invoice and then select “Wire transfer” from the payment options to see the bank details.

If you choose "wire transfer" as the payment method, bank details will be provided. The bank details may be different from those you have previously used to pay for other services and should only be used for this order. It is important to include the reference number provided as this allows the payment to be processed automatically.

Local taxes will be applied to all orders outside the European Union. We add all applicable taxes to these orders at checkout, depending on where you are located.  VAT is included for orders delivered to countries in which VAT is assessed. If your organisation is registered for VAT in the UK or EU, you can click on the “Enter VAT ID” link during checkout to enter your VAT ID to have VAT removed.

Payments are processed by FastSpring, who act as an authorised reseller of our products. When paying from outside the U.S. you may see a third party payment processer as beneficiary.

Yes, you may share the report with colleagues within your company. Before purchasing, you can also share the summary of the report. Click the 'Share’ icon on the product description page and enter the recipient's name and email address to share the report details.

Contact our customer service team with any queries about a report or an order.

Email: support@woodmac.com
Americas: +1 713 470 1600
Asia Pacific: +65 6518 0800
Europe, Middle East, Africa & Russia: +44 131 243 4400

We offer instant digital download, so you can immediately start benefitting from the reports and data you purchase. After you buy a report, you'll receive an email with a link to download the report and any included data files.

You'll receive your report(s) as a PDF. Some reports may also include data files in Excel format.

You'll immediately receive an email with a download link for each report purchased. If you haven't received your report(s) within 30 minutes of your transaction, please contact our customer service team at the numbers shown above. If you pay by wire transfer, it may take a few days for funds to clear and for your report to be delivered.
To ensure your digital download reaches your email and not your spam or trash folder, please whitelist our email address domain, @woodmac.com. You can check with your email service to find out how to whitelist.

We assess requests on a case-by-case basis. Please get in touch with us:

Americas: +1 713 470 1600
Asia Pacific: +65 6518 0800
Europe, Middle East, Africa & Russia: +44 131 243 4400

No. This option is only available to clients who subscribe to our services. View more detail on our subscription services.

Email: support@woodmac.com
Americas: +1 713 470 1600
Asia Pacific: +65 6518 0800
Europe, Middle East, Africa & Russia: +44 131 243 4400

Yes. We're committed to making your digital purchases secure, and we take special steps to ensure that you and your credit card are safe. We are PCI Compliant, meaning there's no risk of your personal data or credit card information being stolen. Using your credit card on our site is safe, and because we don't store credit card numbers, there's no chance of unauthorised access or stolen card information.
We use Verisign SSL Certificates that meet the highest standard in the internet security industry for secure transactions. This certificate establishes a private communication channel, enabling encryption of the data during transmission.

Creating an account allows you to view your order history and download previous reports you've purchased, as well as save time with faster checkouts in the future. You can also set your preferences so we can tell you about new content you're interested in and promotional offers.

If you've forgotten your password, please select the ”Forgot Password” link on the sign in page. Your password will be sent to the email address you provided when you created your account. Alternatively, contact our customer service team:

Email: support@woodmac.com
Americas: +1 713 470 1600
Asia Pacific: +65 6518 0800
Europe, Middle East, Africa & Russia: +44 131 243 4400

Our site shows prices in a number of currencies. The currency you pay in will be determined automatically by your location. You can see an indicative price in US dollars, British Pounds, Euros, Singapore dollars and Australian dollars, by selecting a currency from the drop-down menu next to the shopping cart icon.

If you're interested in upgrading to a subscription with us, please contact our customer service team. Subscribing to Wood Mackenzie means you get access to our analysts, automatic updates of reports, and in some cases a dedicated account management team.

Email: support@woodmac.com
Americas: +1 713 470 1600
Asia Pacific: +65 6518 0800
Europe, Middle East, Africa & Russia: +44 131 243 4400

For your convenience, we offer a number of payment methods:

Credit/Debit Cards: Visa, Mastercard, American Express, Discover, JCB.
Sofort, wire transfer, GiroPay (Germany), iDEAL (Netherlands), Alipay (China).
PayPal (if using PayPal, your invoice will be sent to your PayPal account).

Note: If you pay by wire transfer, it may take a few days for funds to clear and for your report to be delivered.

  • If you have downloaded purchase report files to a local file directory on your computer and try to unzip them, you may receive an error message such as "warning: filename too long—truncating". We recommend you move the downloaded zip file to your C:\ root directory and unzip from there. You can then transfer the unzipped files to any other directory folder.