Commodity Market Report

LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2018)

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30 November 2018

LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2018)

Report summary

Sky-high shipping rates have not prevented LNG prices falling, unusually, as winter approaches. Cold weather could reverse the fall, but if the winter is mild (as weather forecasters suspect) prices will remain subdued and storage levels will enter summer relatively high. High storage combined with plenty of new LNG supply will put severe pressure on LNG prices in the “shoulder months” and through into summer. The build up of new LNG supply should make seasonal prices lower still in the winter of 2019/20 and in the summer of 2020. The Excel download for this report includes global LNG trade data with monthly granularity.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

  • Asia LNG supply and demand balance
  • Europe gas supplies (excl. storage)
  • Europe monthly storage inventory changes
  • Europe gas prices
  • Marginal supplier into Asia
  • Impact of flexible US LNG volumes
  • Changes from previous forecast

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Rest of World LNG ST Report_Demand Q4 2018.pdf

    PDF 669.35 KB

  • Document

    Asia LNG ST Report_Demand Q4 2018.pdf

    PDF 335.65 KB

  • Document

    LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2018)

    PDF 2.53 MB

  • Document

    LNG short-term trade and price outlook (Q4 2018)

    ZIP 2.57 MB

  • Document

    LNG short-term trade and price outlook (q4_2018).xls

    XLS 1.93 MB