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North America gas markets: what to look for in 2016
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Report summary
Market growth in the US is dragging, and producers face some of their most challenging tests yet. Here are the things Wood Mackenzie is watching closely in 2016. Questions of supply are paramount; while North American—and Northeastern, in particular—producers have dealt with low prices before, can they continue to surmount the challenges? We see potential declines in liquids drilling, even in the Northeast, and asset ownership changes may disrupt further drilling and pipeline plans. Market growth seems lacklustre at the moment, as well, and uncertainty about potential market share gains ahead of state decisions around the Clean Power Plan mean that US gas market growth may have to rely on its trade balance: LNG, Canada and Mexico.
Table of contents
- Low liquids prices: additional drilling declines?
- Marcellus and Utica capex: setting the stage for price recovery
- Upstream M&A: short-term disruption, long-term stability?
- Clean Power Plan: State Implementation Plans will dictate gas implications
- Mexico: Continued pipeline completions facilitate additional export growth
- Canada: Strong production delays tightening, but exports still decline
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